CME Group Inc CME StarRatingValueLabel_3Michael Miller, CFA - Equity Analyst - Morningstar Inc.

Last Price
207.48
Day Change
-0.59|-0.28%

As of 02/05/2024
17:16:41 EDT | USD  Minimum 15 Minutes Delay.

Bid/OfferDay RangeVolume90d Ave VolMkt Cap
206.96 - 207.52206.85 - 209.741,922,6461,684,95874.71Bil
Last Close52 Week RangeP/EYield %ISIN
208.07175.73 - 223.8023.694.13US12572Q1058

CME Inc Share Price

Morningstar's Take CME

CME Group has enjoyed favorable market conditions in 2022 and 2023 as volatility across multiple asset classes drove increased trading volume, leading to strong revenue growth. Prior to 2022, the most significant headwind for the company had been the impact that low short-term interest rates had on its interest rate futures, which are its largest source of revenue. When interest rates are expected to stay low there is less need for interest rate hedging and less incentive for speculation, creating a drag on CME's trading volume. With interest rates now well above the 0% rate we saw during much of the past decade, the drag has been removed, benefiting the company's growth. That said, this was a one-time benefit, and we expect CME's revenue growth to return to the low to midsingle digits going forward, particularly as 2023 featured unusually large price increases from CME.

Fair Value Estimate

225.00 USD

Uncertainty

Average

Economic Moat

Wide

Financial Strength

Financial Strength
There is no one analyst in which a Quantitative Fair Value Estimate is attributed to; however, Mr. Lee Davidson, Head of Quantitative Research for Morningstar, Inc., is responsible for overseeing the methodology that supports the quantitative fair value. As an employee of Morningstar, Inc., Mr. Davidson is guided by Morningstar, Inc.’s Code of Ethics and Personal Securities Trading Policy in carrying out his responsibilities. For information regarding Conflicts of Interests, click here.
Michael Miller, CFA - Equity Analyst - Morningstar Inc.
The conduct of Morningstar's analysts is governed by Morningstar's Code of Ethics, Securities Trading and Disclosure Policy, and Investment Research Integrity Policy. For information regarding conflicts of interest, please click here.
Fair Value is derived from a detailed projection of a company’s future cash flows. Analysts create custom industry and company assumptions to feed income statement, balance sheet, and capital investment assumptions into a proprietary discounted cash flow modeling template. Scenario analysis, in-depth competitive advantage analysis, and a variety of other analytical tools are used to augment the discounted cash flow process. Combining analysts’ financial forecasts with the firm’s economic moat helps us assess how long returns on invested capital are likely to exceed the firm’s cost of capital. Because we are modeling free cash flow to the firm—representing cash available to provide a return to all capital providers—we discount future cash flows using the weighted average of the costs of equity, debt, and preferred stock (and any other funding sources), using expected future proportionate long-term, market-value weights. If our base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on our fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. Investments in securities are subject to market and other risks. Past performance of a security may or may not be sustained in future and is no indication of future performance. For detail information about the Qualitative Fair Value, please click here.
Financials
202120222023
more...
Income Statement
Revenue4,689.705,019.405,578.90
Operating Income2,645.203,015.903,435.70
Net Income2,636.402,691.003,226.20
Basic EPS7.307.418.87
Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding359359360
Balance Sheet
Current Assets161,761.80139,078.3094,890.20
Non Current Assets35,018.5035,097.4034,815.90
Total Assets196,780.30174,175.70129,706.10
Current Liabilities160,398.40137,687.5093,416.90
Total Liabilities---
Total Equity27,399.3026,878.7026,737.90
Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow2,402.403,056.003,453.80
Capital Expenditure-127.20-89.70-76.40
Free Cash Flow2,275.202,966.303,377.40

In millions, except "Basic EPS". Currency is USD.

Company Profile

Based in Chicago, CME Group operates exchanges giving investors, suppliers, and businesses the ability to trade futures and derivatives based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign currencies, energy, metals, and commodities. The CME was founded in 1898 and in 2002 completed its initial public offering. Since then, CME Group has consolidated parts of the industry by merging with crosstown rival, CBOT Holdings in 2007 before acquiring Nymex Holdings in 2008 and NEX in 2018. In addition, the company has a 27% stake in S&P Dow Jones Indices, making the Chicago Mercantile Exchange the exclusive venue to trade and clear S&P futures contracts. Through CME’s acquisition of NEX in 2018, it has also expanded into cash foreign exchange, fixed income trading, and collateral optimization.

Sector

Financial Services

Industry

Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Stock Style

Large-Blend

Fiscal Year Ends

December

Employees

3,565
Key Stats
more...
Price/Earning TTM23.67
Price/Book2.76
Price/Sales TTM13.30
Rev Growth (3 year avg)4.54
EPS Growth (3 year avg)-
Operating Margin % TTM61.58
Net Margin % TTM57.83
ROE TTM11.88
Debt/Equity0.13
Dividends
PreviousLatest
Declared Date07/12/2308/02/24
Ex-Div27/12/2307/03/24
Paid18/01/2426/03/24
Amnt5.251.15
Michael Miller, CFA - Equity Analyst - Morningstar Inc.
The conduct of Morningstar's analysts is governed by Morningstar's Code of Ethics, Securities Trading and Disclosure Policy, and Investment Research Integrity Policy. For information regarding conflicts of interest, please click here.
Fair Value is derived from a detailed projection of a company’s future cash flows. Analysts create custom industry and company assumptions to feed income statement, balance sheet, and capital investment assumptions into a proprietary discounted cash flow modeling template. Scenario analysis, in-depth competitive advantage analysis, and a variety of other analytical tools are used to augment the discounted cash flow process. Combining analysts’ financial forecasts with the firm’s economic moat helps us assess how long returns on invested capital are likely to exceed the firm’s cost of capital. Because we are modeling free cash flow to the firm—representing cash available to provide a return to all capital providers—we discount future cash flows using the weighted average of the costs of equity, debt, and preferred stock (and any other funding sources), using expected future proportionate long-term, market-value weights. If our base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on our fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. Investments in securities are subject to market and other risks. Past performance of a security may or may not be sustained in future and is no indication of future performance. For detail information about the Qualitative Fair Value, please click here.
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