Morningstar’s Top European Stock Picks for Q3

Market valuations are not cheap, but there are still opportunities to find good quality stocks trading at a discount

Francesco Lavecchia 11 July, 2023 | 10:41AM
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It’s been a positive first six months to 2023: the European stock market was up more than 10% in euro terms, if we look at the Morningstar Europe Large-Mid Cap index. And, valuations are once again in line with the analyst estimates.

Looking at Morningstar’s price/fair value estimate, the European market is trading just 2% below their intrinsic valuation.

It’s clear we have moved a long way from the bargain territory of late 2022, when markets were trading at a 20%-plus discount to fair value. But, Morningstar analysts are pointing out that for markets to move north from here, it will likely take a boost in investor confidence that can only come from a material improvement in underlying market conditions over the coming quarters.

The best investment opportunities according to Morningstar’s data are in those sectors with the highest exposure to economic cyclicality. For instance, the sectors consumer cyclical, financials and communication services. Investors are understandably concerned about investing in such sectors in the event of a prolonged downturn, but our analysts are confident that the gap between current valuations and their fair value estimates provides a sufficient margin of safety to warrant a further look at these sectors.

Here below is the list of the best investment ideas, by sector, selected by Morningstar analysts for the third quarter.

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The information contained within is for educational and informational purposes ONLY. It is not intended nor should it be considered an invitation or inducement to buy or sell a security or securities noted within nor should it be viewed as a communication intended to persuade or incite you to buy or sell security or securities noted within. Any commentary provided is the opinion of the author and should not be considered a personalised recommendation. The information contained within should not be a person's sole basis for making an investment decision. Please contact your financial professional before making an investment decision.

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About Author

Francesco Lavecchia

Francesco Lavecchia  è Research Editor di Morningstar in Italia

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