Apple and Tesla After Their Stock Splits

The share splits of Apple and Tesla have taken place, so how does this affect the investment case for these tech giants? Morningstar analysts say both stocks still look rich

Susan Dziubinski 1 September, 2020 | 9:17AM
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Tesla

The stock splits of Apple (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA) have now taken place - what does that mean for investors? 

Nothing fundamentally changes with a company when it splits its stock; its market capitalisation remains the same, too. Companies usually split their stocks in an effort to make their share prices more attractive to individual investors, who may be put off by a too-high stock price. Read our guide to what is a stock split here, for more.  

Below, Morningstar analysts share their post-split fair value estimates for both stocks.

Apple Still Looks Expensive

"With the start of trading on August 31, Apple will have initiated a 4-for-1 stock split that does not change our fundamental valuation of the company," says Morningstar strategist Abhinav Davuluri. Apple has announced the split during its most recent earnings call in late July, shortly before it became the first company to ever reach a market value of $2 trillion.

Prior to the share split, Morningstar's fair value estimate on the shares was $285. Post-split that's been revised to $71 a share. "While the split will make shares seem more affordable for small investors, we note the market cap and our overall valuation of the firm remain unchanged," says Davuluri. 

Narrow-moat Apple remains well-positioned in the near term given the upcoming 5G iPhone, he notes, adding that there is also a stronger outlook for the Mac and iPad parts of the business thanks to the ongoing work- and learning-from-home dynamics. Davuluri says: "We recommend prospective investors wait for a wider margin of safety given the precarious state of the global economy, particularly as shares have appreciated more than 125% from mid-March lows."

Tesla's Potential Doesn't Justify its Valuation

Tesla's five-for-one stock split - its first split - took effect after the US stock market closed on August 28. The moves reduced the current share price from a hefty $865 to $173. Morningstar strategy David Whitson says that adding in the present value of what Tesla's autonomous vehicle ride-hailing (robo-taxi) business could be worth in 2030, puts it at a discount value of around $13.8 billion. This figure assumes Tesla captures 10% of the robo-taxi market share across the combined markets of the United States, European Union, and China, and charges $0.25 a mile.

Whitson adds: "Our weighted average cost of capital is 8.8%, and our midcycle operating margin is 11%. We expect the company to remain a leader in autonomous technology and range. Tesla is also gaining scale, and its ability to make desirable vehicles while generating free cash flow and net profit is far better than it's ever been, in our opinion."

This article originally appeared on Morningstar US

 

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The information contained within is for educational and informational purposes ONLY. It is not intended nor should it be considered an invitation or inducement to buy or sell a security or securities noted within nor should it be viewed as a communication intended to persuade or incite you to buy or sell security or securities noted within. Any commentary provided is the opinion of the author and should not be considered a personalised recommendation. The information contained within should not be a person's sole basis for making an investment decision. Please contact your financial professional before making an investment decision.

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Securities Mentioned in Article

Security NamePriceChange (%)Morningstar
Rating
Apple Inc137.35 USD-2.46Rating
Tesla Inc709.42 USD-0.05Rating

About Author

Susan Dziubinski  Susan Dziubinski is senior product manager with Morningstar.com.