LONDON MARKET OPEN: FTSE 100 Edges Up, Shaking Off Sage's 10% Slide

(Alliance News) - London stocks nudged up cautiously in early dealings on Friday, with the latest ...

Alliance News 20 November, 2020 | 8:41AM
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(Alliance News) - London stocks nudged up cautiously in early dealings on Friday, with the latest US stimulus hopes providing some cheer to markets.

The blue-chip FTSE 100 was higher despite shares in constituent Sage slumping 10% as it guided to lower margins.

The FTSE 100 was up 10.36 points, or 0.2%, at 6,344.71 early Friday. The mid-cap FTSE 250 index was down 27.91 points, or 0.1%, at 19,479.54. The AIM All-Share index was up 0.3% at 1,021.98.

The Cboe UK 100 index was up 0.1% at 631.52. The Cboe 250 was down 0.1% at 16,848.93, and the Cboe Small Companies up 0.2% at 11,275.99.

In mainland Europe, the CAC 40 in Paris was up 0.1% while the DAX 30 in Frankfurt was 0.1% lower early Friday.

European stocks mostly started Friday's session with moderate gains after aides to top US lawmakers met on Thursday for yet another restart to talks on a new stimulus spending package to aid the economic recovery from the coronavirus downturn.

The discussions, confirmed to AFP by a senior Democratic aide, come as Covid-19 cases surge nationwide and as the president of a regional Federal Reserve bank warned the US could see growth contract again in the fourth quarter.

The talks between the staffs of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, both Democrats, and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, both Republicans, would address another pandemic relief package, the aide said.

Lawmakers have negotiated for months on passing such a bill, but haven't come to terms on how much to spend and what to spend it on.

London's FTSE 100 was in the green even as Sage Group shares tumbled 10% after the accounting software firm guided to a fall in margins in the financial year ahead.

Revenue for the financial year ended September 30 was GBP1.90 billion, down 1.7% on GBP1.94 billion the year before. Revenue was up 3.7% on an organic basis and organic recurring revenue rose 8.5%.

Pretax profit increased 3.3% to GBP373 million from GBP361 million.

Looking to the new financial year, Sage said it expects organic recurring revenue growth to be around 3% to 5%, weighted towards the second half.

"We also expect other revenue (SSRS and processing) to continue to decline, in line with our strategy. Organic operating margin is expected to be up to three percentage points below FY20, depending on the level of additional investment we make during the year," the firm added.

The company said Sage Business Cloud adoption and growth will remain its "key objective" this coming financial year and beyond, and it intends to increase its investment in sales and marketing and product development. This is expects to result in a planned reduction in organic operating margin of up to three percentage points.

Beyond the 2021 financial year, though, Sage expects margins to trend upwards "over time".

Chief Executive Steve Hare said: "We've delivered a strong performance in FY20, achieving recurring revenue growth in line with the guidance we gave at the beginning of the year, despite the Covid-19 pandemic...I am confident that our additional investment in Sage Business Cloud, and in particular cloud native solutions, will deliver stronger growth and drive the future success of the group."

Smurfit Kappa shares were 3.1% lower after raising EUR660 million in a share placing. Smurfit placed 1.4 million shares at a price of EUR34.00 each, the price being a discount of 5.8% to its Dublin closing price on Thursday.

The Irish company said it was pleased by the "strong support" received from existing and new shareholders.

Rising early Friday was Croda International, up 1.4% after Citigroup raised the speciality chemicals firm to Buy from Neutral.

Hochschild Mining edged up 1.6% after it declared a dividend and gave production guidance for 2021.

The gold miner said it has approved the payment of an interim dividend of 4.0 cents per share.

"This decision was taken following the withdrawal of the recommendation to pay the 2019 final dividend and the postponement of the 2020 interim dividend due to the uncertainties caused by Covid-19 and the risk to the company's operations," Hochschild said

While the Covid-19 crisis continues to affect both Peru and Argentina, Hochschild said its balance sheet remains strong with its mines delivering a period of "steady operation", supported by robust commodity prices.

The board will consider the payment of a final dividend in respect of 2020 and at next scheduled meeting in February, 2021.

Turning to guidance, Hochschild said it is on track to meet revised production guidance for 2020 of 280,000 to 290,000 gold equivalent ounces and 24.0 million to 25.0 million silver equivalent ounces. The all-in sustaining cost from operations in 2020 is now expected to be lower than revised guidance, at between USD1,200 and USD1,250 per gold equivalent ounce.

For 2021, Hochschild said its overall attributable production target is 360,000 to 372,000 gold equivalent ounces and 31.0 million to 32.0 million silver equivalent ounces.

"The all-in sustaining cost from operations in 2021 is expected to be between USD1,210 and USD1,250 per gold equivalent ounce (or USD14.1 and USD14.5 per silver equivalent ounce). This includes a rise in mine development costs at San Jose in order to increase reserves and an increase in development at Inmaculada. Grades at Inmaculada are expected to be lower due to the delay in mine development resulting from the Covid-19 crisis," said Hochschild.

Gold was quoted at USD1,867.26 an ounce early Friday, higher than USD1,861.42 on Thursday.

Brent oil was trading at USD44.21 a barrel, flat on USD44.22 late Thursday.

In Asia on Friday, the Japanese Nikkei 225 index closed down 0.4%. In China, the Shanghai Composite closed up 0.4%, while the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong closed up 0.4%.

Consumer prices in Japan fell 0.7% year-on-year in October, marking the biggest decline since March 2011 due mainly to a domestic travel subsidy program.

Accommodation fees plunged 37% from a year earlier after the government launched the travel promotion campaign in July to reinvigorate the tourism industry and local economies hit hard by the coronavirus pandemic.

Meanwhile, the Japanese private sector economy continued to struggle in November, estimates from IHS Markit showed on Friday, amid weakening demand conditions.

The headline au Jibun Bank Japan manufacturing purchasing managers' index stood at 48.3 in November compared to 48.7 in October, signalling a deterioration in the health of the manufacturing sector for the nineteenth straight month.

Against the yen following the data, the dollar was a touch lower at JPY103.84 versus JPY103.88 late Thursday.

The US currency also was lower against the pound and euro amid Friday's more optimistic mood.

The euro traded at USD1.1873 early Friday, up from USD1.1840 late Thursday. Sterling was quoted at USD1.3259 early Friday, higher than USD1.3225 at the London equities close on Thursday.

UK retail sales growth slowed month-on-month in October, but still managed to beat forecasts as consumers started Christmas shopping early, data showed.

Separately, the Office for National Statistics said the UK's debt-to-gross domestic product ratio has reached 100.8% - levels not seen since the early 1960s.

Retail sales rose 1.2% month-on-month in October, marking the the sixth consecutive month of growth in the industry. While this was slower than the 1.4% posted for September, it beat expectations, according to FXStreet, of stagnation in the month.

"Shoppers piled through the doors of real and virtual stores in October in a pre-lockdown splurge with sales increasing for a sixth consecutive month. Christmas shopping kicked off early with retailers offering discounts to lure customers in," said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

She added: "However, fresh lockdowns in the middle of peak festive shopping season will mean many retailers will still be facing a nightmare before Christmas."

In a separate release, the ONS said public sector net debt, excluding public sector banks, rose by GBP276.3 billion in the first seven months of the financial year to reach GBP2.076 trillion at the end of October, or around 100.8% of GDP.

"Debt to GDP ratios in recent months have reached levels last seen in the early 1960s," the ONS commented.

By Lucy Heming; lucyheming@alliancenews.com

Copyright 2020 Alliance News Limited. All Rights Reserved.

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Securities Mentioned in Article

Security Name Price Change (%) Morningstar
Rating
Croda International PLC 4,849.00 GBX -1.18
Hochschild Mining PLC 151.00 GBX 3.57 -
Sage Group (The) PLC 1,145.00 GBX 0.17
Smurfit Kappa Group PLC 3,484.00 GBX 0.87 -
Smurfit Kappa Group PLC 40.80 EUR 0.94 -

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