Credit Rating Upgrade: BT Group

BT's financial position has improved markedly since we initially rated the firm nearly a year ago and we're upgrading our credit rating on the firm to BBB from BBB-

Morningstar Credit Committee 7 March, 2011 | 5:31PM
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After reviewing BT Group's (BT.A) latest financial results, we're upgrading our credit rating on the firm to BBB from BBB-. BT's financial position has improved markedly since we initially rated the firm nearly a year ago. The most notable element of this improvement is in BT's pension obligations. At the start of fiscal 2011, the pension faced a deficit of £7.9 billion. However, at the end of the third quarter (ended December), this amount had been cut by more than half to £3.7 billion. Roughly £1 billion of the improvement is the result of pension asset gains, while GBP 3 billion was from a reduction in liabilities. The UK government has changed the pension laws to use the CPI rather than the RPI to calculate future payments. Since the CPI's growth rate is roughly 1 percentage point lower, this change has a significant effect on future liabilities. The pension remains a major concern with BT, but this burden has lightened.

The restructuring at BT's global services division is also ahead of schedule, and the unit is probably now generating positive free cash flow. The firm has cut costs in other divisions, further benefiting profitability and free cash flow. Our Solvency Score has benefited from BT's improved performance. BT has used cash flow to reduce net debt, which now stands at 1.6 times EBITDA, or 2.3 times including pension obligations. At this level the firm's leverage is only a bit higher than the European telecom average. Overall, BT is now generating about £2 billion of free cash flow annually. Even with the £525 million annual payment to the pension fund that BT is required to make and the £550 million in dividends it pays each year, the firm has room to continue cutting its debt load. Heavy maturities over the next few years push our Cash Flow Cushion calculation below 1.0, but this is typical for telecom carriers.

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Securities Mentioned in Article

Security NamePriceChange (%)Morningstar
Rating
BT Group PLC104.50 GBX-0.19Rating
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