Wizz Air Fair Value Under Review After Earnings

Despite demand for flights rising, Wizz Air’s share price has been falling.

Loredana Muharremi 6 June, 2025 | 10:05AM
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Illustration eines blau umrandeten Flugzeugs und eines halben Flugzeugs in rosa vor einem roten Hintergrund, der die Luftfahrtindustrie darstellt.

Editor’s Note: This analysis was originally published as a stock note by Morningstar Equity Research.

Key Morningstar Metrics For Wizz Air


No-moat Wizz Air WIZZ delivered modest 2025 top-line growth with revenue up 3.8% to €5.27 billion and revenue per available seat kilometer, or RASK, up 3.9% on a 1.2-percentage-point load factor gain to 91.2%, despite flat ASK.

Ticket and ancillary RASK increased 4.1% and 3.7%, respectively, driven by yield initiatives and a rollout of bundled services. Profitability deteriorated as fixed costs inflated over stagnant capacity. This marks a continuation of the structural margin pressure observed since the onset of the GTF engine issues that undermined Wizz Air’s ability to scale profitably. We are placing our Wizz Air fair value estimate under review.

Cost per available seat kilometer, or CASK, rose 10.9% driven by a 19.9% jump in ex-fuel CASK due to GTF-related groundings (42 aircraft), which triggered €113 million in wet lease costs and higher depreciation. Depreciation and amortization up 28% reflected fleet growth and idle aircraft. Staff, maintenance, and airport costs increased, pressured by inflation-linked wage increases, growing maintenance activity, and regulatory hikes in air traffic control and airport fees from January 2025. Fuel CASK declined 3.1% due to lower fuel prices. EBITDA fell 4.9% to €1.13 billion, while operating profit declined 61.7% to €167.5 million. Net profit dropped 41.5% to €213.9 million, partially cushioned by a €194.2 million tax credit. Pratt & Whitney OEM compensation was €353.6 million.

Wizz ended the year with 231 aircraft (up 11% year on year) and reduced its 2028 fleet target to 305 (from 380) following a deferral of 47 aircraft, easing near-term product development plan outflows. Net debt increased 3.5% to EUR 4.96 billion with leverage at 4.4 times, while liquidity improved to 31.5%. No formal guidance was issued—management expects 20% ASK growth in 2026, a 2% gain in load factor, and higher RASK despite lower fares, with improved fuel CASK and a modest ex-fuel CASK increase from residual grounding effects.

Wizz Air Holdings Stock Price

Source: Morningstar Direct. Data as of June 05, 2025.


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Loredana Muharremi  is an equity analyst at Morningstar

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