Editor's Note: This analysis was originally published as a stock note by Morningstar Equity Research.
Key Morningstar Metrics for BT Group
- Fair Value Estimate: GBX 190
- Morningstar Rating: ★★★
- Morningstar Economic Moat Rating: Narrow
- Morningstar Uncertainty Rating: High
What We Thought of BT Group’s Earnings
BT Group’s full-year results were broadly in line with our expectations, with revenue of GBP 20.4 billion and adjusted EBITDA of GBP 8.2 billion for the year, down 2% and up 1%, respectively.
Why it matters: We are pleased BT has raised fiber buildout targets for 2026 by 20%, given in January, management signaled 80% of the lines lost were in areas where BT has no fiber-to-the-home connections. Accelerating the rollout should help BT defend its market share in broadband.
Continued cost-cutting enabled BT Group to increase EBITDA in 2025 despite seeing revenue contract. Lower international and handset sales weighed on the top line.
The bottom line: We are maintaining our GBX 190 fair value estimate for narrow-moat BT, and see the shares as slightly undervalued.
Key stats: Total Openreach fiber-to-the-premises lines grew 39% year on year to 6.5 million. With over 18 million FTTP lines, BT boasts a 36% take-up rate. Elsewhere, Openreach lost 243,000 broadband lines in the fourth quarter.
The author or authors do not own shares in any securities mentioned in this article. Find out about Morningstar's editorial policies.