Global Economy on the Rebound Following Slow Growth

The first quarter of this year is set to report a rebound to around 2.5% from 1.9%, led by improving US and Japanese growth rates

Andy Brunner 15 March, 2016 | 5:02PM

With another round of revisions still to come, the fourth quarter of 2015 appears likely to be the slowest three months of global growth recorded since the euro area and Japan were both in recession in the latter half of 2012. This was principally a result of weak US and Japanese outturns which, at least for the former, is expected to prove temporary.

Turbulence in financial markets remains a potential threat

Indeed, far stronger growth is forecast for the first quarter of 2016 to the end of March with a nearly doubling of the pace expected by the developed countries led by the US reporting a sizeable rebound. The huge volatility in Indian data will boost emerging economies growth so that overall, world output should return towards more trend-like growth.

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About Author

Andy Brunner

Andy Brunner  is Head of Investment Strategy, Morningstar UK

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