ETF Market to Topple Hedge Funds

LOW COST FUNDS: Investment exchange traded funds will surpass the amount of cash held in hedge funds by 2015 as three-quarters of investors vow to up their exposure

Emma Wall 31 January, 2014 | 11:12AM
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Investors’ appetite for exchange traded products (ETPs) sees no sign of abating. The low-cost tracker funds that are listed on the stock exchange exploded onto the investment scene during the global recession, gaining popularity in volatile markets as investors lost faith in active management. 

Written off by many professional investors as a fad, ETPs have stuck around and are being credited with the recovery of the European investment industry. 

In 2013, $247.3 billion was invested globally into equity ETPs, the largest inflows ever according to ETP provider iShares. This far outpaced the flows seen in 2008 - the only other year inflows surpassed £200 billion. Even fixed income ETP investment grew – up $27.5 billion globally – while in the UK open-end bond funds recorded outflows for the first time on record.

“On a full-year basis, 2013 was the third strongest on record for the Global ETP Industry,” said  Dodd Kittsley, Head of BlackRock ETP Research.

According to a report by EY (formerly Ernest & Young) such is the popularity of ETPs that in 12 months’ time the amount invested in ETPs will exceed the cash in hedge funds. Three quarters of investors plan on adding to the number of ETPs they hold in the future, with an incredible 50% saying they will increase by more than 10 ETPs over the next two years.

The European ETP market is still significantly smaller than the American market however. ETPs make up 3.5% of the investment market in Europe, compared to 8% in the US.

The EY report reveals that while other investment products have struggled to grow post the global recession, ETP investment is growing at an annual rate of 5%, and can be expected to corner 25% of the market within the next three years. This growth will be driven by investor education and the implementation of the European version of the Retail Distribution Review across the continent which will make charging structure more transparent.

If the European growth model follows that of the US ETP market investors can expect consolidation within the sector. At the end of June 2012 there were 1,334 ETPs in Europe, compared to 1,183 in the US – despite the fact that there is almost four times as much money invested in ETPs in America. There are also fewer providers in the US market, which helps to build investors’ trust and confidence in ETPs.

Lisa Kealy from EY said: “Consolidation will occur. There are currently too many vanilla funds in the market.”

This article is the first in a new series every Friday on Morningstar.co.uk focused on low-cost passive investing

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Emma Wall  is former Senior International Editor for Morningstar

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