What Does 2012 Hold for the ETF Industry?

Morningstar ETF analyst Jose Garcia-Zarate reviews the industry's performance in 2011 and looks ahead to what 2012 holds for passive investors

Holly Cook 4 January, 2012 | 11:50AM
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The first Morningstar ETF webinar of 2012 provided an overview and assessment of the passive investing industry in 2011, a look at the hype around ETP 'bogeymen' and supposed rogue trading, and also provide insights into what the new year holds for ETP investors.

Listen again to Morningstar analyst Jose Garcia-Zarate's webinar and review his presentation slides by clicking 'Play' below. If you are not already a BrightTALK member you will need to register to review the webinar--registration is fast and free, and need only be completed once to access myriad investment webinars. A summary of the key topics and points covered by Garcia-Zarate follow.

- Global ETP market grew by 4.6% y/y in 2011 to close to $1.5 trillion;
- European ETP market experienced a mild -0.3% y/y fall in 2011 to around EUR 225 billion;
- Both Global and European ETP markets saw net inflows, but capital losses dented the net growth figure, particularly so for Europe;
- Traditional mutual fund industry experienced both net outflows and capital losses, hence ETPs did better (ie. inflows across the board);
- The story of market flows in Europe was a tale of two halves: tentative risk appetite in H1 and safe-haven on fears of euro collapse in H2;
- German assets (equity and fixed income) and commodities (gold) were the end-beneficiaries of safe-haven flows;
- Broad eurozone (equity and fixed income) and emerging markets (equity) were the clear losers;
- 244 new launches in Europe covering increasingly complex market strategies;
- 2011 was the year of the ETP Bogeyman;
- Morningstar investor surveys across Europe reflected increasing concerns about the issue of counterparty risk attached to synthetic structures;
- Swap providers have lost market share vs. physical providers, but not just on fears of counterparty risk, also very important were safe-haven asset-reallocation trends in H2;
- Morningstar investor surveys also consistently showed a strong need for further education;
- 2012 will be the year of regulation;
- ESMA to launch second round of consultation on ETP market practices soon (probably end January);
- Also possible a review of UCITS legislation;
- Market consensus is that ETP market is well poised to grow further in 2012 and beyond (flows trend is positive);
- Fixed income identified by all providers as key area of growth (innovations in indexing and increased usage by investors).

Missed our previous ETP webinars? Catch up here.

The information contained within is for educational and informational purposes ONLY. It is not intended nor should it be considered an invitation or inducement to buy or sell a security or securities noted within nor should it be viewed as a communication intended to persuade or incite you to buy or sell security or securities noted within. Any commentary provided is the opinion of the author and should not be considered a personalised recommendation. The information contained within should not be a person's sole basis for making an investment decision. Please contact your financial professional before making an investment decision.

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Holly Cook

Holly Cook  is Manager, Morningstar EMEA Websites

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